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Seniors to help families looking for free online, seniors to join. As the experiments clearly show, the situation becomes even worse when the water is acidic: The models predict the extent to which temperatures in various waters will be affected by climate change, and how much they will acidify. In turn, thanks to their experiments the two researchers can now precisely determine in which areas the Atlantic cod and polar cod will no longer be able to spawn in the future.
It also becomes clear that we could see shifts in fish populations, because the adults will have to search for new spawning areas where their eggs or embryos can still find viable conditions for normal development. In this regard, Dahlke and Storch have chiefly considered three climate scenarios: Working together with climate modeller Martin Butzin from the AWI, they arrived at some interesting conclusions.
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In the regions around Iceland and Norway, up to 60 percent fewer cod larvae will hatch from their eggs. Every year, around , tonnes of cod worth 2 billion euros are harvested here. If the waters grow warmer, it will retreat north, not only for the business-as-usual scenario but also under the scenario with moderate warming.
Since the polar cod depends on sea ice for its overwintering phase, it remains to be seen how the populations will be affected if the sea-ice extent continues to shrink. Given the fact that the Atlantic cod is considerably larger and more aggressive than its polar cousin, the latter may have to fight for its food. Whether or not that happens, a drop in the polar cod population would be catastrophic, as it is a staple food for many organisms in the Arctic — including seals, seabirds and even whales.
As Flemming Dahlke relates: Flemming Dahlke stresses that, though the experiments yielded very clear findings, predicting the development of fish populations is extremely difficult. The current takes the eggs floating in the water, and later the larvae, farther north, where ideal living conditions await them.
There is also good news, says Daniela Storch: Northern cod species face spawning habitat losses if global warming exceeds 1. The Alfred Wegener Institute pursues research in the polar regions and the oceans of mid and high latitudes.
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As one of the 18 centres of the Helmholtz Association it coordinates polar research in Germany and provides ships like the research icebreaker Polarstern and stations for the international scientific community. Marine biologists launch a new research project on the impact of climate change on the popular commercial fish. New study Climate refugee Cod High Probability for loss of breeding grounds if temperature increases by more than 1.
Emptying the fish lift into the tank Photo: